A brief history of the future jacques attali pdf download

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Includes index A very long history -- A brief history of capitalism -- The end of the American empire -- First wave of the future : planetary empire -- Second wave of the future : planetary war -- Third wave of the future : planetary democracy "In this international best seller, world-renowned economist and political adviser Jacques Attali predicts how our world will look not only in the coming decades but a century from now. Will there be global chaos, dominated by terrorists, pirates, dictators, devastating droughts, and rising floodwaters?

Or will the planet be blessed with peace, prosperity, and greater freedom for mankind? Analyzing the past in order to predict the future, he pinpoints three political orders in human history: the ritual order, in which religious powers dominate; the imperial order, in which the military powers hold sway; and the mercantile order, in which the paramount group is the one that controls the economy. Within the last named, the author makes a case that there have been nine distinct "cores," starting around , each with its world center of power and prestige, and predicts what the tenth will be by the dawn of the next century.

How we respond to the crises and opportunities that await us will determine what land of world we will bequeath our children and grandchildren. There are no reviews yet. Piracy, Islamic fundamentalism--all these things are happening. But in my eyes, the environmental issues will be the most disruptive.

As for whether humans will see their folly, hmm Not really sure. Anyway, the book was quite interesting and worth reading. I don't think any of the individual ideas were shocking, but the totality of the picture painted is a worthy jumping off point for discussion.

Author 11 books 54 followers. This highly speculative tale of things to come begins with a brief overview of where we've been. I was put off by an obvious error on page 7 which states that all primates other than Homo sapiens sapiens vanished from Earth 30, years ago. Although some species of apes, monkeys, and lemurs are endangered, many are still with us, so obviously they did not vanish.

The mistake may have been due to a translation error from the original French because the word 'primate' is used several times in places in which 'human' would have been a better choice. There were other questionable word choices including 'freedom', 'democracy', and 'fair' in the early pages of this book. From there it goes on to relate various paths humanity might take Some I thought fairly plausible Still, they provide warnings of things to avoid.

One that did make me pause was the prediction that public services might, in the near future, be privatized, effectively leaving nation states impotent to mitigate the excesses of profit-seeking corporations. Possible, but I have to believe that we'll be wise enough to avoid such a dystopian future which sounds to me something like cutthroat corporate feudalism. The final chapter is utopian, in which people suddenly and inexplicably become rational and altruistic.

That would be nice, but it doesn't explain how we get there from here, especially considering the dire predictions it makes earlier. As a cautionary tale, this book has value. As a prediction of the future, not so much. I have no doubt that humanity will face many of the challenges this book describes, and no doubt we'll handle some of them better than others, but I have to believe that we will handle them before they lead to the extreme outcomes described here.

Car pour Attali, tout sera "hyper" ou ne sera pas. The author goes all out in his futurist view in this book, pretty brave for a person with many responsibilities and reputation to consider. I like his approach in leading you from the basics of history, so you can naturally integrate the future as a part of the continual history. It takes the myth out of futurism, which I think is the point of this book.

I do think he's a bit romantic in the things he choose to feature, although his history lesson is so matter-of-fact. There is a human-ness about Jacques Attali that I enjoy reading him over other dry econo-political books. This book lets you see the current of econo-political history in a long range, taming the emotional reaction of people who want to believe that this way of life will last forever. If you have 15 minutes at a bookstore just reading the chapter "Third Wave of the Future" is worth it.

Jerry Wall. Rare times of finding a book that addresses your questions and reinforces your answers or adds new answers are what Monsieur Attali is about. As we move inexorably into our future whatever it may be, it is better to have someone thinking of better results. Insuring oneself will be their obsession, and distracting oneself will be their way of forgetting. Islam will try to gain absolute power p. Their nationalities will be those of the languages they speak, and no longer simply of the countries where they will live.

Humanity's common good, protection of the things that make life possible and worthwhile -- climate, air, water, freedom, democracy, culture, languages, fields of knowledge. I want to believe, too, that religions will find a path to mutual tolerance and mutual enrichment. Kan Yilmaz. The core cities were: Bruges with the central rudder stock Venice with the caravel Antwerp with printing Genoa and accounting Amsterdam with the fluyt London and the steam engine Boston and the automobiles New York City with the electricity Los Angeles and the microchip He guesses that next core city will still be in California perhaps San Diego.

The hyperempire, the hyperconflict and hyperdemocracy—will take over the world one after the other. He estimates before the 9th form US Empire will collapse which would take around Financially and politically exhausted, like other empires before it, the US will cease to rule the world. Money will trample everything in its path, including even the United States, which it will destroy gradually. Having become the sole law controlling the world, the market will establish what he calls it a hyperempire, creating both unfathomable wealth and suffering on a global scale, fortunes as well as extreme poverty; nature will be exploited and despoiled in a systematic matter; everything will be privatized, including the army, the police and the judicial system.

Terrorist factions and pirates will roam the globe. He calls such a war a hyperconflict. He guesses that if the world still continues after this point, there will be organisations and companies, cultures and habits which are more eco-friendly.

He says that hyperdemocracy, a superior method of organizing mankind, will triumph around , and, as the ultimate expression of freedom, it will become the driving force for history. A new economy, called a relational economy, producing non-profit services, will compete with the market before eliminating it, just as the market put an end to feudalism a few centuries ago.

During this period, the market and democracy, which are not as distant as they are believed to be in the sense they are understood today, will become outdated concepts, vague memories. I bought this book on a whim a year ago, having spied it on the shelves of one of my favourite bookstores, Diabolik. We do seem to be on the cusp of massive changes on this planet, but just what will they be?

Will it is be dystopia or utopia for humanity? Typically the future will probably be somewhere in-between these two extremes. When you pick up a book entitled A Brief History of the Future the expectation is that it will have at least some feasible answers.

I approached this book with great enthusiasm, but unfortunately left it feeling underwhelmed and entertaining the thought that I would make a better futurist than the likes of Attali.

Attali notes in his forward that the shape of our future is being set by events and choices that we are making in the present; therefore logically past events have always set the future in motion. With this in mind he then proceeds with a potted history of the past, including when life itself emerged from the oceans and that momentous time when our ancestors first began to walk upright.

There are also some glaring flaws, although they may well be caused by a fault in translation Attali is French. These criticisms are perhaps unfair, however much more glaring is the total lack of referencing throughout this and the following chapter. Attali makes claim after claim regarding the lives and practices of early humans without citing any kind of reliable sources.

And that around , years ago slavery began? What discoveries or research led to these notions? Are we just meant to take his word for it? Attali details the history of what he refers to as the mercantile order and suggests that as the mercantile order evolved over the centuries it fostered more and more individual freedoms and therefore became an engine of democracy. Logically the evolution of capitalism over the centuries points to an inevitable decline in the dominant core, something that has happened again and again; mostly caused by internal dysfunctions, mainly financial, and challenges from the outside.

While it is too complex to adequately sum up how and why each wave could be possible there are a number of key points for each worth noting. Planetary empire involves a possible decoupling of the mercantile order from a central city core, becoming a roaming entity mostly via the borderless world wide web. ISIS is certainly shaping up to be such an entity. Planetary democracy is, rather optimistically, the inevitable endgame for the century.

While some of his arguments for this third wave are sound, some are also are also dubious. A Brief History of the Future is a moderately interesting book with some compelling ideas.

Ultimately, however, the book is flawed, particularly the chapters that deal with the future, which simply make too many assumptions. I have a reasonable knowledge of emergent technologies and have a pretty good understanding of history and current events. Personally I believe that certain emergent technologies could completely alter society and what it is to be human, even more so than current computer technology coupled with the internet.

If genuine AI technology is developed, possibly coupled with quantum computing, then that would be a huge game changer. If longevity drugs, now entering an exciting research and development phase, come to fruition, then society and the economy will be challenged with significant changes that have never been seen before.

Mirela Simona. It's like reading the Book of Revelation. A prediction requires two things: an unambiguous way of judging if the event happened and a time limit.

By this standard the book provides a mere handful of predictions, none of which are on track. It starts of trying to analyse the history of the world and find some simple rules it follows always a waste of time.

It then proceeds to talk about how in the future we'll all be playing golf and riding horses. At no point does it explain where any of the "predictions" come from because they sure as hell don't follow the scant few trends identified in the first part.

At least it's bold and stimulating, even if it's proven more wrong with each year that passes. Joel Everett. Certainly a thought-provoking book; I found the first two-thirds of the book - which covers the past history of what Mr.

Attali defines as the "Mercantile Order" to be quite interesting and a good overview of the major economic centers from Bruges in to the present day.

The latter third of the book deals with three possible, or possibly sequential, scenarios of the future based on extrapolating from the past historical lessons the author has gleaned. It is not a future I'd particular care to live in, but it is an important insight into the worldview of Mr. Attali and his colleagues which is quite different from John Q. Geff Ratcheson. Neither the description or any other reviews I read mentioned this. It does say published in ; I missed that.

Missing the rise of Trumpism, fascism, Maga, the "Tea Party", etc, etc; really reduces the accuracy of the book. I would not have bought this if I had been aware of it. Hopefully there will be an update that will be pushed out to Kindle users.

Not sure if I'm going to finish this, as he's making predictions based on very out of date information. Cario Lam. The author makes some bold predictions for the future of humanity between present day, the early 21st century to the end of it. He offers both extremes, the pessimistic and optimistic. The best and worse case scenarios. I like how this work transcends nation states and political parties. The only reason I didn't give him another star was because he attempted to tackle an extremely complex topic and didn't provide enough details in the examples that he did present.

Agli Nanaj. Fascinating books, and effectively espouses a philosophical opinion about nomadization. This idea stems from modern societies' tendency for computer jobs going out from the typical workplace, vlogging, and free reign squatting. The ideas of the new humanity that Attali describes are similar indeed to Deleuze's "dividual". Nevertheless, an excellent work for people who want to peer into the geopolitical and economic future of our planet. David Bradshaw.

Weiching Liu. A very interesting and thought provoking read. The narrative on the history is already well worth the read.

There are some controversy on the future prediction, and maybe that's because it's not too bright. Still, most scenario aren't that inconceivable. Budd Margolis. One of the best encapsulated human history briefs I have seen. The future? Who knows but a few years after it has been written makes some errors obvious. But thought-provoking and at times fascinating.

Richard Domann. Wow Scary but worth reading and thinking about. Our planet being a mix of societies and individual differences will be challenged moving forward. Reynaldo Sandoval. Insightful with some limitations.

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Software Images icon An illustration of two photographs. Images Donate icon An illustration of a heart shape Donate Ellipses icon An illustration of text ellipses. Metropolitan Museum Cleveland Museum of Art. Internet Arcade Console Living Room. Books to Borrow Open Library. Search the Wayback Machine Search icon An illustration of a magnifying glass. Sign up for free Log in. A brief history of the future : abrave and controversial look at the twenty-first century Item Preview.

EMBED for wordpress. Want more? Advanced embedding details, examples, and help! Includes index A very long history -- A brief history of capitalism -- The end of the American empire -- First wave of the future : planetary empire -- Second wave of the future : planetary war -- Third wave of the future : planetary democracy "In this international best seller, world-renowned economist and political adviser Jacques Attali predicts how our world will look not only in the coming decades but a century from now.

Will there be global chaos, dominated by terrorists, pirates, dictators, devastating droughts, and rising floodwaters? Or will the planet be blessed with peace, prosperity, and greater freedom for mankind? Too large a population, and for the most part unnecessary, is something economically too expensive. Socially, it is also much better for the human machine to stop abruptly rather than gradually deteriorate.

We will find something or cause it; a pandemic that targets certain people, a real economic crisis or not, a virus that will affect the old or the elderly, it does not matter, the weak and the fearful will succumb.

The stupid will believe it and ask to be treated. We will have taken care of having planned the treatment, a treatment that will be the solution. The selection of idiots will therefore be done by itself: they will go to the slaughterhouse alone. De ceva timp, am inceput sa citesc si carti de non-fictiune.

Imi place foarte mult sa citesc aceste previziuni despre viitor si daca ele se apropie cat de cat de viziunea mea. Cartea lui Attali este, cred, cea mai realista. Desi nu vorbeste indeajuns de mult despre tehnologie si nu ii maximizeaza rolul - orice istoric trebuie sa maximizeze rolul tehnologiei, ea fiind ceva sine qua non, unde viitorul este ori supertehnologizat, ori deloc - cred ca multe dintre ideile lui se aplica si se vor intampla. Interesanta si "etapizarea" din istoria capitalismului.

Capitolul despre Romania este fad. O umplutura. Amalgam de vorbe, dar care, fe dapt, nu spun nimic. Mihaela Vladoiu. Why does he writes a chapter for Romania? He could write about his country or any other country in the Europe! Anyway, I think nobody is interested to transhumans and a lot of predictions here are revealing the ideas of masonry. A new world order is a really bad thing because starts from lies, a lot of lies they tell us.

Let's be honest , we're not stupid, not all of us So, Jacques Attali, where did you find these ideas? From your bosses? Very interesting ideas. Some are very plausible, some others not so much. Terry Quirke. The book starts with a recap of human history, focusing on the history of capitalism and identifying trends and then extrapolates these trends from the early s all the way through to years into the future.

The style of presentation is like a lecture, with sentences of prediction tied in with history and data to support the premise. Dealing with a huge topic here so the points are made from a high level, there's no getting down into the weeds with this. Attalli sees capitalism running rampant and eating itself, America retreating from empire to become one power among many.

He still sees the core as being in America, but moving to a new location with the country. Other powers will rise but no-one will dominate. As capitalism advances, chaos follows with the rise of piratical forces terrorrists, failed states, predatory corporations , more mercenaries and less regular armied and law enforcement bodies.

Essentially the world will come to look like Africa with fractured states and parties impacting upon each other. Eventually out of the chaos rises a new system of global governance. I enjoyed the book but like some of the other reviewers the author lost me at the end - the process of getting there tied together but it seemed to veer off at that point. That said, considering the book was written in he got the GFC, rising nationalism and populism and piratical forces all correct so far Allan Dyen-Shapiro.

Author 10 books 7 followers. This book was recommended to me by a political scientist friend. Starting with a recap of human history, focusing on the history of capitalism, it identifies trends and extrapolates these trends years in the future. Predicted is an age in which the American empire of predatory capitalism extends to the point of near destruction of the world, followed by a time of many different wars and collapse, followed by a time in which the hell of unfettered markets and hatreds leads nongovernmental organizations relational enterprises to bring about a world based on altruism and mutual caring.

The style is lecture: one sentence after another of future prediction, interrupted only occasionally by historical tidbits and data meant to support the point. The range is global--the entire world is encompassed.

My major problem with Attali's predictions is his timeline. He pegs as the time when unfettered markets will lead the world to economic collapse. He mentions ecological devastation, and does indeed impart it's worsening to capitalism entities--actually "nomadic" entities--globalized capitalism that owes allegiance to no one state, but he doesn't give it enough weight.

We have passed many turning points on global environmental destruction. The world doesn't have until His prediction that the US and Europe will look like today's Africa as they collapse is probably correct, but it's too delayed. If ocean acidification collapses coral reef ecosystems--that's the end of Thailand and the Philippines as viable countries.

Sea level rise will devastate Bangladesh, Indonesia, etc. Desertification will lead to even further chaos in much of Africa. And that's just scratching the surface. We've already had financial meltdown, and the world didn't collapse. The surveillance state is here, but I don't feel I'm living in an Orwellian dystopia. Piracy, Islamic fundamentalism--all these things are happening.

But in my eyes, the environmental issues will be the most disruptive. As for whether humans will see their folly, hmm Not really sure.

Anyway, the book was quite interesting and worth reading. I don't think any of the individual ideas were shocking, but the totality of the picture painted is a worthy jumping off point for discussion. Author 11 books 54 followers. This highly speculative tale of things to come begins with a brief overview of where we've been. I was put off by an obvious error on page 7 which states that all primates other than Homo sapiens sapiens vanished from Earth 30, years ago.

Although some species of apes, monkeys, and lemurs are endangered, many are still with us, so obviously they did not vanish. The mistake may have been due to a translation error from the original French because the word 'primate' is used several times in places in which 'human' would have been a better choice.

There were other questionable word choices including 'freedom', 'democracy', and 'fair' in the early pages of this book. From there it goes on to relate various paths humanity might take Some I thought fairly plausible Still, they provide warnings of things to avoid. One that did make me pause was the prediction that public services might, in the near future, be privatized, effectively leaving nation states impotent to mitigate the excesses of profit-seeking corporations.

Possible, but I have to believe that we'll be wise enough to avoid such a dystopian future which sounds to me something like cutthroat corporate feudalism. The final chapter is utopian, in which people suddenly and inexplicably become rational and altruistic. That would be nice, but it doesn't explain how we get there from here, especially considering the dire predictions it makes earlier. As a cautionary tale, this book has value. As a prediction of the future, not so much.

I have no doubt that humanity will face many of the challenges this book describes, and no doubt we'll handle some of them better than others, but I have to believe that we will handle them before they lead to the extreme outcomes described here. Car pour Attali, tout sera "hyper" ou ne sera pas. The author goes all out in his futurist view in this book, pretty brave for a person with many responsibilities and reputation to consider.

I like his approach in leading you from the basics of history, so you can naturally integrate the future as a part of the continual history. It takes the myth out of futurism, which I think is the point of this book. I do think he's a bit romantic in the things he choose to feature, although his history lesson is so matter-of-fact. There is a human-ness about Jacques Attali that I enjoy reading him over other dry econo-political books.

This book lets you see the current of econo-political history in a long range, taming the emotional reaction of people who want to believe that this way of life will last forever. If you have 15 minutes at a bookstore just reading the chapter "Third Wave of the Future" is worth it. Jerry Wall. Rare times of finding a book that addresses your questions and reinforces your answers or adds new answers are what Monsieur Attali is about.

As we move inexorably into our future whatever it may be, it is better to have someone thinking of better results. Insuring oneself will be their obsession, and distracting oneself will be their way of forgetting. Islam will try to gain absolute power p. Their nationalities will be those of the languages they speak, and no longer simply of the countries where they will live. Humanity's common good, protection of the things that make life possible and worthwhile -- climate, air, water, freedom, democracy, culture, languages, fields of knowledge.

I want to believe, too, that religions will find a path to mutual tolerance and mutual enrichment. Kan Yilmaz. The core cities were: Bruges with the central rudder stock Venice with the caravel Antwerp with printing Genoa and accounting Amsterdam with the fluyt London and the steam engine Boston and the automobiles New York City with the electricity Los Angeles and the microchip He guesses that next core city will still be in California perhaps San Diego.

The hyperempire, the hyperconflict and hyperdemocracy—will take over the world one after the other. He estimates before the 9th form US Empire will collapse which would take around Financially and politically exhausted, like other empires before it, the US will cease to rule the world. Money will trample everything in its path, including even the United States, which it will destroy gradually.

Having become the sole law controlling the world, the market will establish what he calls it a hyperempire, creating both unfathomable wealth and suffering on a global scale, fortunes as well as extreme poverty; nature will be exploited and despoiled in a systematic matter; everything will be privatized, including the army, the police and the judicial system. Terrorist factions and pirates will roam the globe. He calls such a war a hyperconflict. He guesses that if the world still continues after this point, there will be organisations and companies, cultures and habits which are more eco-friendly.

He says that hyperdemocracy, a superior method of organizing mankind, will triumph around , and, as the ultimate expression of freedom, it will become the driving force for history. A new economy, called a relational economy, producing non-profit services, will compete with the market before eliminating it, just as the market put an end to feudalism a few centuries ago.

During this period, the market and democracy, which are not as distant as they are believed to be in the sense they are understood today, will become outdated concepts, vague memories. I bought this book on a whim a year ago, having spied it on the shelves of one of my favourite bookstores, Diabolik. We do seem to be on the cusp of massive changes on this planet, but just what will they be? Will it is be dystopia or utopia for humanity? Typically the future will probably be somewhere in-between these two extremes.

When you pick up a book entitled A Brief History of the Future the expectation is that it will have at least some feasible answers. I approached this book with great enthusiasm, but unfortunately left it feeling underwhelmed and entertaining the thought that I would make a better futurist than the likes of Attali. Attali notes in his forward that the shape of our future is being set by events and choices that we are making in the present; therefore logically past events have always set the future in motion.

With this in mind he then proceeds with a potted history of the past, including when life itself emerged from the oceans and that momentous time when our ancestors first began to walk upright.

There are also some glaring flaws, although they may well be caused by a fault in translation Attali is French.

These criticisms are perhaps unfair, however much more glaring is the total lack of referencing throughout this and the following chapter. Attali makes claim after claim regarding the lives and practices of early humans without citing any kind of reliable sources. And that around , years ago slavery began? What discoveries or research led to these notions? Are we just meant to take his word for it? Attali details the history of what he refers to as the mercantile order and suggests that as the mercantile order evolved over the centuries it fostered more and more individual freedoms and therefore became an engine of democracy.

Logically the evolution of capitalism over the centuries points to an inevitable decline in the dominant core, something that has happened again and again; mostly caused by internal dysfunctions, mainly financial, and challenges from the outside.

While it is too complex to adequately sum up how and why each wave could be possible there are a number of key points for each worth noting. Planetary empire involves a possible decoupling of the mercantile order from a central city core, becoming a roaming entity mostly via the borderless world wide web. ISIS is certainly shaping up to be such an entity. Planetary democracy is, rather optimistically, the inevitable endgame for the century.